Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -7 (131-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 38 | 15-24 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 29 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 37 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 36 | 12-22 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| John Collins * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kris Dunn | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Miller | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 41 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 37 | 11-23 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Max Christie * | 23 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 24 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
* = starter