Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.6% | 96.4% | +18.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (134-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker * | 34 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Micah Potter | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 18 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper * | 28 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 26 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter