Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (126-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 21 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Will Richard | 30 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nate Williams | 28 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 26 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 19 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Omer Yurtseven | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 12-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 27 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 28 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 25 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter