Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -5 (106-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 39 | 9-23 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| James Harden * | 36 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 30 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Max Strus | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 14 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 40 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 32 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Yves Missi | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Derik Queen | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Karlo Matković | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter