Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 10-23 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 30 | 3-15 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 31 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Luka Garza | 27 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Hugo González | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Javon Small * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 24 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Burton | 32 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| DeJon Jarreau | 27 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 26 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
* = starter