Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +22 (117-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jock Landale | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 19 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 18 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 24 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter