Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | β (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | β |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +14 (115-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 22 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 10 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Will Richard | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 24 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Omer Yurtseven | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 25 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Paul Reed | 22 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 21 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Javonte Green | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter