Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.6% | 28.4% | -5.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (120-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 30 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Max Christie * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 22 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 21 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter