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2026-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 73.2% 26.8% - ✓
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - ✓
Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.3% 45.7% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers -8 (119-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 32 5-13 4-8 1-2 3 8 2 0 1 15 14 -
Deni Avdija * 31 9-21 1-6 13-16 11 5 0 1 5 32 23 -
Jerami Grant * 31 3-11 0-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
Toumani Camara * 30 7-11 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
Donovan Clingan * 24 10-19 3-5 5-6 13 2 1 2 2 28 25 -
Scoot Henderson 26 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 1 4 9 6 -
Robert Williams III 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 2 1 2 13 -
Kris Murray 17 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
Matisse Thybulle 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 6 6 -
Sidy Cissoko 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 2 4 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Slawson * 37 6-10 2-4 3-3 7 4 1 3 0 17 22 -
Jarace Walker * 32 4-12 2-4 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 10 8 -
Aaron Nesmith * 26 6-13 1-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 15 6 -
Ivica Zubac * 23 7-18 0-0 4-5 8 3 0 1 1 18 11 -
T.J. McConnell * 20 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 10 1 0 2 7 16 -
Jay Huff 20 4-8 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 11 7 -
Quenton Jackson 20 5-7 0-0 3-3 0 6 2 0 2 13 12 -
Kobe Brown 20 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 7 -
Ben Sheppard 18 4-8 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 10 5 -
Taelon Peter 12 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Kam Jones 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter