Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +21 (120-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 7-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 22 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Will Richard | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 20 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Quinten Post | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 20 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nate Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 11-20 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Derrick White * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 30 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 30 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Hugo González | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max Shulga | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter