Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.2% | 4.8% | -16.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -28 (104-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 23 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 21 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 21 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 23 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 19 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud * | 41 | 13-25 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Nique Clifford * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 24 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Killian Hayes | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
* = starter