Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | -8.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (116-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| James Harden * | 33 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 11-13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 12-21 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Max Strus | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 32 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 29 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Pete Nance | 29 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| AJ Green | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter