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2026-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 96.7% 3.3% -
Bradley-Terry 88.3% 11.7% -
Margin 95.8% 4.2% -17.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 75.7% 24.3% -
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.3% 14.7% -
Points Off/Def 75.6% 24.4% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (117-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 30 13-17 0-0 10-11 12 2 0 1 1 36 33 -
Ausar Thompson * 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Tobias Harris * 27 4-11 0-2 4-4 5 6 0 2 0 12 14 -
Duncan Robinson * 26 3-9 1-3 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
Cade Cunningham * 5 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
Marcus Sasser 25 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 9 4 -
Kevin Huerter 22 2-7 0-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 4 3 -
Caris LeVert 20 3-5 3-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 10 10 -
Daniss Jenkins 20 4-9 2-2 5-6 2 7 2 1 1 15 17 -
Ronald Holland II 15 4-5 1-1 2-2 5 0 3 0 1 11 13 -
Paul Reed 13 4-5 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
Javonte Green 5 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bub Carrington * 37 12-16 6-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 30 20 -
Will Riley * 37 7-13 1-3 6-9 3 1 2 0 0 21 14 -
Justin Champagnie * 29 6-11 2-4 4-4 9 2 0 1 1 18 18 -
Tre Johnson * 24 3-12 1-4 4-4 4 1 0 0 2 11 2 -
Anthony Gill * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 -
Jaden Hardy 31 6-15 4-9 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 16 6 -
Sharife Cooper 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 6 6 0 0 2 7 9 -
Jamir Watkins 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 4 2 1 3 3 7 -
Tristan Vukcevic 18 4-8 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 9 6 -

* = starter