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2026-03-17

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% -
Bradley-Terry 73.6% 26.4% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% -
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% -

Actual: LA Clippers -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Castle * 36 9-19 1-4 4-6 7 8 1 0 3 23 17 -
Devin Vassell * 35 6-11 4-7 4-4 3 4 1 0 0 20 17 -
Victor Wembanyama * 33 9-20 2-9 1-3 13 2 1 4 3 21 18 -
De'Aaron Fox * 29 6-12 0-4 6-6 3 6 0 2 2 18 15 -
Julian Champagnie * 28 3-8 0-3 1-1 8 1 2 1 3 7 8 -
Keldon Johnson 21 4-10 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
Carter Bryant 20 2-4 0-2 6-7 5 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
Harrison Barnes 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
Jordan McLaughlin 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Mason Plumlee 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 32 9-21 4-9 3-3 2 10 2 0 8 25 10 -
John Collins * 25 4-8 0-1 3-5 9 4 1 0 1 11 16 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 23 4-13 2-6 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 10 2 -
Brook Lopez * 23 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 2 0 3 6 -
Kris Dunn * 22 3-5 2-3 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 9 8 -
Bennedict Mathurin 34 5-12 0-4 6-6 4 3 2 0 2 16 11 -
Jordan Miller 26 10-13 1-1 1-1 9 3 0 0 0 22 21 -
Isaiah Jackson 16 4-5 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 1 1 11 8 -
Kobe Sanders 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 5 6 -
Nicolas Batum 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Cam Christie 6 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter