Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | β (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | β |
Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (92-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 40 | 5-18 | 0-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 39 | 14-27 | 4-12 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 40 | 9-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 30 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter