Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | β (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +18 (129-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 32 | 12-24 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 23 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 29 | 10-21 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 17 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 28 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 24 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Derik Queen | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 19 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 18 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter