🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +3.0 ✓ (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - ✓
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +25 (132-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rayan Rupert * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 3 2 -
Walter Clayton Jr. * 26 5-11 2-5 0-0 2 7 0 1 3 12 8 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper * 24 6-11 1-3 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 13 6 -
Cedric Coward * 23 7-13 2-7 1-2 0 5 0 1 2 17 8 -
Jaylen Wells * 22 5-9 2-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 16 10 -
Jahmai Mashack 26 1-6 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 3 4 -
DeJon Jarreau 22 2-4 0-1 1-2 5 6 1 0 2 5 11 -
Tyler Burton 21 2-6 1-3 3-4 8 1 2 0 2 8 11 -
Taylor Hendricks 21 6-11 2-5 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 16 9 -
Cam Spencer 16 3-7 2-4 4-4 1 7 1 0 1 12 13 -
Taj Gibson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 33 6-12 2-5 2-2 15 13 3 0 2 16 33 -
Matas Buzelis * 31 12-22 5-13 0-0 7 1 0 3 1 29 17 -
Leonard Miller * 28 3-5 2-3 2-3 7 1 0 2 0 10 15 -
Tre Jones * 27 7-12 1-5 2-2 5 5 2 1 3 17 15 -
Jalen Smith * 26 5-10 0-4 3-3 5 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
Rob Dillingham 26 6-15 3-9 0-0 1 4 3 0 3 15 5 -
Patrick Williams 19 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
Guerschon Yabusele 17 3-4 2-3 5-6 0 1 1 0 1 13 10 -
Nick Richards 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 5 8 -
Yuki Kawamura 11 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 2 0 0 3 5 3 -
Lachlan Olbrich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter