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2026-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 81.9% 18.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% - βœ“
Margin 84.8% 15.2% -9.5 βœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.0% 32.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 78.5% 21.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% - βœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (117-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Richard * 32 0-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 -
De'Anthony Melton * 30 12-17 0-2 3-3 5 4 2 0 3 27 18 -
Draymond Green * 28 2-8 1-5 0-0 8 7 2 0 3 5 11 -
Brandin Podziemski * 28 3-11 1-4 3-4 4 3 1 0 1 10 6 -
Gui Santos * 27 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 18 16 -
Kristaps Porziņģis 25 8-13 1-5 13-14 5 4 2 3 3 30 28 -
Gary Payton II 23 7-10 0-0 1-3 6 2 2 1 2 15 14 -
Pat Spencer 21 3-9 2-4 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 10 9 -
Malevy Leons 15 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
Nate Williams 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Omer Yurtseven 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Riley * 38 6-13 4-8 5-6 4 5 0 0 3 21 14 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 32 7-10 2-2 5-6 8 4 1 0 2 21 22 -
Julian Reese * 23 5-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 3 12 9 -
Tre Johnson * 23 5-12 2-7 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 13 2 -
Trae Young * 21 7-10 3-5 4-5 2 5 1 1 3 21 17 -
Anthony Gill 31 1-4 0-2 2-2 8 2 2 0 1 4 11 -
Jamir Watkins 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 6 8 -
Tristan Vukcevic 15 3-9 2-7 3-4 2 1 0 1 2 11 4 -
Jaden Hardy 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Bub Carrington 12 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Sharife Cooper 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter