Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (119-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 12-24 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Green | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Paul Reed | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 39 | 11-17 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 12-25 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 7 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 33 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 33 | 1-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter