Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -10 (120-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 32 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Max Christie * | 29 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 24 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 24 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 14 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 39 | 10-24 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| James Harden * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Max Strus | 22 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter