Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +23 (122-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 30 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 26 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| AJ Green | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Pete Nance | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Gary Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cam Thomas | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 34 | 10-20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 26 | 10-18 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jock Landale | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 14 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter