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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% - βœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 βœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (142-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 39 10-17 6-9 1-2 8 15 2 0 6 27 29 -
Matas Buzelis * 35 7-19 4-11 4-5 6 1 2 2 2 22 12 -
Tre Jones * 32 8-16 0-2 2-2 4 6 1 0 0 18 13 -
Leonard Miller * 31 6-9 1-3 2-2 9 1 1 0 1 15 16 -
Jalen Smith * 30 5-11 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
Rob Dillingham 29 5-10 1-3 1-2 5 7 1 0 1 12 14 -
Nick Richards 25 7-9 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 15 9 -
Yuki Kawamura 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
Lachlan Olbrich 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 4 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 40 6-10 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 15 8 -
Austin Reaves * 38 13-20 4-7 0-0 5 7 1 0 3 30 20 -
Deandre Ayton * 37 10-13 0-0 3-6 10 1 0 0 0 23 21 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 36 17-31 9-14 8-9 10 9 3 1 1 51 42 -
LeBron James * 33 7-13 0-2 4-6 7 7 2 1 4 18 18 -
Jake LaRavia 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 0 3 -
Luke Kennard 19 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 1 0 3 2 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Drew Timme 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter