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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (136-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 36 9-21 5-11 6-6 5 5 1 1 3 29 17 -
Will Riley * 33 3-10 1-6 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 8 3 -
Alex Sarr * 23 6-12 1-4 3-4 4 0 2 5 1 16 14 -
Tre Johnson * 22 1-11 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 3 -4 -
Trae Young * 21 5-7 2-4 3-3 3 6 0 0 2 15 15 -
Leaky Black 27 4-5 2-2 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 12 14 -
Bub Carrington 27 5-7 0-2 2-2 5 5 1 0 1 12 15 -
Tristan Vukcevic 20 5-12 1-5 0-0 11 1 0 1 2 11 10 -
Justin Champagnie 17 6-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 12 9 -
Anthony Gill 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
Jamir Watkins 16 2-5 1-4 2-3 1 1 1 0 1 7 4 -
Sharife Cooper 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 42 4-13 0-2 10-14 10 5 0 0 3 18 17 -
Desmond Bane * 42 7-14 2-5 6-6 1 6 3 0 1 22 17 -
Tristan da Silva * 41 10-18 3-6 3-3 7 2 4 2 2 26 21 -
Jalen Suggs * 34 10-17 3-8 5-6 4 8 2 0 3 28 22 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 8-13 2-3 1-2 11 3 2 2 2 19 22 -
Jevon Carter 21 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 6 5 -
Jett Howard 19 3-8 2-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
Noah Penda 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 5 -
Moritz Wagner 11 3-8 1-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Goga Bitadze 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonathan Isaac 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter