Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +6 (128-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 9-24 | 4-13 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 9 | - |
| James Harden * | 36 | 11-16 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 31 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 18 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 12-19 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 29 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 34 | 8-13 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jett Howard | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Noah Penda | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter