Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (125-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 39 | 11-22 | 3-11 | 9-11 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 26 | 10-24 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 33 | 8-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Luka Garza | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Hugo González | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Max Shulga | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amari Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 36 | 11-20 | 8-15 | 9-12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 30 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 11-14 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 13 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter