Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +14 (113-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 10-14 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 32 | 12-16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 23 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Green | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter