Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (124-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 6-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Max Christie * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 28 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 36 | 12-19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 28 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter