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2026-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.1% 82.9% - βœ“
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 βœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - βœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +20 (131-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 32 9-20 0-4 4-9 6 5 2 0 2 22 13 -
Jarace Walker * 30 5-8 2-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 14 10 -
Andrew Nembhard * 27 5-11 2-4 2-4 2 9 2 0 3 14 13 -
Aaron Nesmith * 24 4-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Jay Huff * 21 5-15 3-10 3-5 6 1 1 5 2 16 12 -
Kobe Brown 20 3-6 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 8 10 -
T.J. McConnell 17 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
Ben Sheppard 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Quenton Jackson 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
Micah Potter 15 4-9 3-7 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
Obi Toppin 10 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Kam Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 32 6-10 4-6 5-7 2 1 2 2 3 21 15 -
Toumani Camara * 28 3-10 1-5 0-0 11 2 0 0 1 7 9 -
Jrue Holiday * 25 7-10 5-8 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 21 16 -
Deni Avdija * 24 6-16 0-4 6-6 5 8 0 3 1 18 17 -
Donovan Clingan * 23 4-7 0-1 1-3 11 3 1 1 2 9 16 -
Scoot Henderson 26 10-15 3-7 5-6 3 6 1 1 0 28 24 -
Vít Krejčí 22 3-10 1-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
Robert Williams III 20 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 12 13 -
Kris Murray 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Matisse Thybulle 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Sidy Cissoko 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Blake Wesley 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Yang Hansen 4 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter