Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +25 (145-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 35 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Clint Capela | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 7 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Green | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 25 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter