Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +30 (122-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 29 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Max Christie * | 25 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 20 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 18 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 13-19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 31 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 30 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 25 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 17 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 13 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter