Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (98-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 27 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 24 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 34 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 25 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Luka Garza | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Hugo González | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 9-11 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter