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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% -
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (125-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quentin Grimes * 41 9-15 3-8 5-7 6 3 1 0 4 26 17 -
Tyrese Maxey * 37 12-22 3-7 4-4 2 5 4 0 5 31 15 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 10-15 3-5 1-3 5 4 2 0 5 24 15 -
Adem Bona * 29 2-4 0-0 0-2 7 3 0 1 1 4 10 -
Dominick Barlow * 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 4 2 -
Trendon Watford 18 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 10 8 -
Andre Drummond 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
Jabari Walker 17 3-7 1-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 9 7 -
Cameron Payne 14 3-7 0-2 0-0 1 6 2 1 0 6 9 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 38 12-19 2-4 9-9 10 7 2 0 5 35 30 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 36 8-15 4-9 4-4 2 6 1 0 4 24 14 -
Dyson Daniels * 34 7-10 1-2 0-0 9 4 2 0 2 15 18 -
CJ McCollum * 32 6-13 1-5 4-6 3 7 1 0 6 17 9 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 28 4-7 1-1 1-2 6 5 2 0 1 10 15 -
Zaccharie Risacher 22 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 3 1 1 8 12 -
Jock Landale 19 2-4 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Corey Kispert 13 3-7 1-4 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Mouhamed Gueye 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Gabe Vincent 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter