Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.1 | β (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (128-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Huff * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 10-20 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Micah Potter | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 31 | 14-25 | 7-14 | 9-10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 44 | 35 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 26 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Drew Timme | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bronny James | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris MaΓ±on | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter