Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | β (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | β |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (118-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 41 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Yves Missi | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 13 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Derik Queen | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 10-21 | 5-12 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 32 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Green * | 30 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 29 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Haywood Highsmith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter