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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - βœ“
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 βœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - βœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (106-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 39 5-13 4-9 2-4 6 2 6 0 0 16 17 -
Jerami Grant * 38 6-14 2-5 7-9 2 2 2 0 1 21 12 -
Jrue Holiday * 36 8-18 2-7 2-4 4 10 1 0 4 20 13 -
Donovan Clingan * 25 5-10 1-4 7-11 13 0 0 1 2 18 20 -
Scoot Henderson * 19 1-9 1-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 4 -3 -
Robert Williams III 22 4-5 0-1 0-4 8 0 3 1 2 8 13 -
Vít Krejčí 20 0-5 0-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Blake Wesley 13 2-3 1-1 2-3 0 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
Matisse Thybulle 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 4 0 0 5 7 -
Sidy Cissoko 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 39 11-12 0-0 4-6 7 7 2 1 1 26 30 -
Kevin Durant * 39 8-18 0-1 4-4 8 5 0 1 8 20 8 -
Reed Sheppard * 35 5-14 3-8 4-4 3 6 1 3 4 17 12 -
Tari Eason * 25 2-6 0-4 1-1 5 0 2 2 0 5 8 -
Alperen Sengun * 25 11-15 1-1 5-8 6 2 0 1 6 28 16 -
Dorian Finney-Smith 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 5 9 -
Clint Capela 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 1 3 2 5 -
Josh Okogie 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Aaron Holiday 12 1-5 0-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter