Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +20 (120-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 30 | 7-23 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 19 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 18 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Derrick White * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 27 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 22 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 33 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Hugo González | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amari Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nikola Vučević | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter