Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 39 | 10-26 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Javonte Green | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 14 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Paul Reed | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bobi Klintman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 38 | 12-24 | 4-10 | 10-11 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 38 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 12-22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter