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2026-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +8 (115-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 36 7-12 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 16 10 -
RJ Barrett * 30 9-14 4-5 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 25 17 -
Immanuel Quickley * 30 6-10 2-4 4-5 3 7 1 0 2 18 17 -
Brandon Ingram * 29 5-16 0-1 4-7 5 2 1 0 1 14 5 -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 4 2 1 1 9 17 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 23 5-8 1-2 0-1 2 1 1 1 1 11 7 -
Jamal Shead 17 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 -3 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 17 0-2 0-1 2-3 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Jamison Battle 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Jonathan Mogbo 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 -
Gradey Dick 3 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 35 7-8 0-0 4-6 12 5 1 3 0 18 31 -
Anthony Edwards * 34 8-12 5-8 1-2 4 3 1 0 4 22 14 -
Julius Randle * 33 5-11 0-2 7-8 8 4 1 0 2 17 17 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 4-7 4-6 4-4 5 2 2 0 1 16 17 -
Jaden McDaniels * 21 3-6 1-3 1-1 2 4 1 0 2 8 7 -
Ayo Dosunmu 27 6-11 1-2 0-0 1 1 3 1 0 13 8 -
Naz Reid 20 5-12 1-5 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 12 7 -
Kyle Anderson 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 4 7 -
Bones Hyland 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Julian Phillips 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Joan Beringer 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Jaylen Clark 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter