Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -2 (113-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gui Santos * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 39 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 29 | 10-22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| LJ Cryer | 20 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Quinten Post | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nate Williams | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 43 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 42 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 8-20 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 37 | 12-19 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Clint Capela | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter