Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -18 (113-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 31 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 30 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 20 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng * | 27 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 26 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| AJ Green * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 21 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Cam Thomas | 17 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Pete Nance | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter