Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | β (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (110-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 27 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Derik Queen | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Yves Missi | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 37 | 10-22 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 8-12 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter