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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% - ✓
Margin 79.0% 21.0% -7.3 ✓ (32.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - ✓
Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -40 (91-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 24 3-5 1-1 3-5 8 4 3 6 3 10 23 -
Devin Vassell * 22 7-10 6-8 2-2 5 1 2 1 1 22 20 -
Julian Champagnie * 21 4-9 2-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
De'Aaron Fox * 21 4-8 1-4 2-2 5 7 1 0 0 11 16 -
Stephon Castle * 20 6-10 0-2 3-4 4 10 1 0 1 15 19 -
Carter Bryant 25 4-7 3-6 0-0 9 3 0 0 1 11 15 -
Keldon Johnson 22 6-10 0-2 0-0 9 0 2 0 3 12 10 -
Dylan Harper 21 8-11 2-4 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 22 13 -
Jordan McLaughlin 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
Kelly Olynyk 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 0 3 -
Bismack Biyombo 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Lindy Waters III 12 3-8 2-7 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 8 3 -
Luke Kornet 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 5 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 25 8-19 2-6 3-4 8 2 1 1 2 21 12 -
Quentin Grimes * 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
VJ Edgecombe * 19 2-9 0-2 2-3 4 1 1 2 1 6 4 -
Dominick Barlow * 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -
Andre Drummond * 5 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Justin Edwards 26 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 9 5 -
Cameron Payne 25 4-11 2-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 10 4 -
Trendon Watford 25 3-9 0-4 3-4 2 3 2 0 4 9 3 -
Adem Bona 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 6 9 -
Tyrese Martin 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 2 0 2 7 -
Jabari Walker 19 7-10 2-5 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 20 15 -
Dalen Terry 16 1-7 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter