Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | β (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 35 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 31 | 8-15 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 26 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dennis SchrΓΆder | 28 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
* = starter