Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +27 (117-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| LaMelo Ball * | 29 | 5-19 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 21 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Josh Green | 25 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Sion James | 24 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Grant Williams | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tre Mann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter