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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% -
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% -
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -27 (81-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hugo González * 35 7-15 3-8 1-3 16 1 3 2 1 18 24 -
Derrick White * 33 5-18 4-12 4-4 1 9 1 0 2 18 9 -
Sam Hauser * 29 5-9 4-8 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 14 11 -
Nikola Vučević * 26 5-12 0-4 0-0 5 7 0 1 0 10 11 -
Baylor Scheierman * 24 4-8 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
Payton Pritchard 33 10-23 5-10 0-0 4 9 0 0 1 25 14 -
Luka Garza 19 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 0 2 7 10 -
Jordan Walsh 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 0 7 -
Ron Harper Jr. 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 6 6 -
Amari Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
John Tonje 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Max Shulga 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 30 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 2 3 0 3 8 8 -
Ousmane Dieng * 29 5-10 3-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 13 5 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 25 7-18 0-2 5-7 11 2 0 1 3 19 12 -
AJ Green * 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Myles Turner * 18 1-6 1-6 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 5 6 -
Bobby Portis 23 4-7 3-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
Ryan Rollins 23 2-11 1-5 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 5 -1 -
Jericho Sims 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 0 1 3 9 -
Pete Nance 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Gary Harris 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Cam Thomas 11 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gary Trent Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter