Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.1% | 6.9% | -14.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -5 (118-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Sheppard * | 42 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 12-20 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 11-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 30 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bub Carrington * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Julian Reese * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 26 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 21 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Will Riley | 32 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Sharife Cooper | 17 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
* = starter