🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 ✓ (24.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - ✓
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +25 (114-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 34 8-17 1-7 8-9 13 2 0 4 7 25 20 -
Devin Vassell * 34 7-14 3-9 1-3 7 3 1 0 2 18 13 -
De'Aaron Fox * 31 3-10 1-6 0-0 3 6 0 0 2 7 4 -
Stephon Castle * 30 5-13 1-3 2-4 4 4 1 0 0 13 9 -
Julian Champagnie * 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 3 5 -
Dylan Harper 22 3-7 0-0 2-2 3 4 3 0 2 8 9 -
Harrison Barnes 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
Keldon Johnson 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Luke Kornet 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 2 2 -
Jordan McLaughlin 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
Carter Bryant 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bismack Biyombo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lindy Waters III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Kelly Olynyk 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 34 5-11 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 12 8 -
Mikal Bridges * 33 10-17 5-9 0-0 5 2 5 0 1 25 19 -
Jalen Brunson * 32 7-16 4-7 6-7 4 7 0 0 3 24 16 -
Josh Hart * 29 4-14 1-6 1-2 10 7 1 0 1 10 13 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 28 5-9 0-1 2-3 14 1 1 0 4 12 15 -
Landry Shamet 24 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 7 5 -
Jose Alvarado 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 5 1 0 0 3 8 -
Mitchell Robinson 15 2-2 0-0 0-3 5 0 1 1 2 4 7 -
Mohamed Diawara 14 5-14 4-13 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 14 5 -
Tyler Kolek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jeremy Sochan 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Ariel Hukporti 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Kevin McCullar Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter