Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | β (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -28 (101-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 29 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| LeBron James * | 28 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 27 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 27 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 23 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Al Horford | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Nate Williams | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Quinten Post | 13 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Malevy Leons | 7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Will Richard | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter