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2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 92.6% 7.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 78.2% 21.8% - ✓
Margin 90.8% 9.2% -12.6 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 71.6% 28.4% - ✓
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.9% 25.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (125-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 37 10-15 2-7 5-5 2 11 0 0 1 27 24 -
Brandon Ingram * 33 9-14 1-1 5-6 5 5 1 1 2 24 20 -
RJ Barrett * 32 8-15 1-3 4-6 5 3 1 0 1 21 14 -
Scottie Barnes * 29 7-13 0-1 4-4 4 4 1 1 1 18 14 -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 7-7 0-0 4-5 10 3 3 1 1 18 27 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 23 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jamal Shead 22 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 7 2 -
Jamison Battle 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 15 3-5 0-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 22 6-10 2-3 0-2 5 4 1 0 2 14 12 -
Bub Carrington * 20 4-9 2-4 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 12 11 -
Tre Johnson * 19 3-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 8 4 -
Tristan Vukcevic * 18 4-6 3-5 2-2 3 3 0 1 1 13 13 -
Kyshawn George * 15 5-7 3-3 1-2 3 1 0 2 1 14 12 -
Will Riley 34 6-10 1-2 6-7 4 3 0 0 3 19 13 -
Anthony Gill 28 4-11 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 8 4 -
Justin Champagnie 21 6-11 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 3 0 12 11 -
Jamir Watkins 21 4-5 2-3 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 10 8 -
Jaden Hardy 19 4-9 2-5 1-1 0 0 0 0 2 11 0 -
Sharife Cooper 17 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter