Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -19 (105-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Small * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 24 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| GG Jackson * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. * | 21 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 19 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 26 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 25 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Jahmai Mashack | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 26 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 33 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Miles Kelly | 30 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter